Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 16.695235 19.342866 22.212555 25.546201 29.304120 33.400876 38.196441
2025-09-14 12.461347 16.163041 20.565759 26.149269 32.998706 41.081509 51.291715
2025-09-21 9.550694 13.576049 18.732732 25.735650 34.897623 46.366382 61.681300
2025-09-28 7.504186 11.553664 17.083554 25.039687 36.018489 50.436840 70.566135
2025-10-05 6.758371 11.106431 17.358509 26.775939 40.324281 58.787728 85.452570
2025-10-12 6.080292 10.609453 17.435278 28.149378 44.143318 66.657710 100.142806
2025-10-19 5.292400 9.795095 16.898745 28.499335 46.435083 72.463906 112.250348
2025-10-26 4.612151 9.033288 16.318859 28.667988 48.394346 77.836129 123.978685
2025-11-02 3.950215 8.187787 15.479174 28.297564 49.431609 81.835787 133.845711
2025-11-09 3.363552 7.375954 14.580275 27.704084 50.011816 85.107648 142.725393
2025-11-16 2.856336 6.625504 13.683767 26.995718 50.300172 87.879869 150.916521
2025-11-23 2.387654 5.867657 12.669724 25.955093 49.906956 89.484717 157.290340
2025-11-30 2.147706 5.571974 12.537145 26.585768 52.601202 96.547339 173.278857
2025-12-07 1.916304 5.259629 12.344853 27.111552 55.205921 103.723823 190.052860
2025-12-14 1.627808 4.756001 11.690944 26.668293 56.004643 107.876781 202.042701
2025-12-21 1.363115 4.248809 10.948269 25.947787 56.196453 110.950386 212.334438
2025-12-28 1.317558 4.290798 11.410640 27.737627 61.301948 122.997345 238.716343
2026-01-04 1.247692 4.253421 11.685651 29.153396 65.773724 134.143336 264.062421
2026-01-11 1.119558 4.025862 11.483958 29.514100 68.166819 141.615191 283.249976
2026-01-18 0.996804 3.785098 11.213896 29.687930 70.180787 148.478410 301.660138
2026-01-25 0.862688 3.475920 10.725568 29.306124 71.000653 153.114020 316.208735
2026-02-01 0.737151 3.160002 10.168513 28.694365 71.269879 156.684236 328.930975
2026-02-08 0.624934 2.856229 9.592547 27.964111 71.208153 159.579326 340.494034